Pipeline Publishing, Volume 4, Issue 8
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Serving Up Service Delivery
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Telecom 2007 Year in Review:
Looking Newer Every Day

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By Joseph J. Kestel

As 2007 was winding down, major players from different regions and previously distinct industries were taking aim at each other. Increasingly, competition is not two telcos squaring off; it’s a telco wrestling with a cable MSO, or an application developer seeking concessions from a wireless carrier. New technologies, expanded capacity, and extended coverage seem to come online every day, making the industry seem new with virtually every passing day.

The Changing Face of Competitive Players

Although 2007 was a bit quieter on the M&A front compared with recent years, there were still several moves that reflect the changing nature of the competitive landscape. As an industry, telecom benefited from rosier valuations and easier access to capital in the first half of 2007 than it had in recent years; how long these conditions last will dictate near-term activity.

The year began with AT&T closing its acquisition of BellSouth. To the chagrin of some competitive carriers, the deal gave AT&T control of the local incumbent facilities in four of the seven post-divesture Baby Bell territories. Even more important to its long-term strategies and profitability, the move consolidated control of Cingular—formerly a joint venture between SBC and BellSouth—under the AT&T logo. Wireless continues to drive profitability across telecom, and with new services like 3G data, mobile video, and location-aware social networking and gaming on the horizon, AT&T will have control of its own destiny.

In a sign of the growing importance of scale and network reach, competitive carriers did their part to keep pace. PAETEC closed its merger with US LEC in February, then in September announced that it would acquire McLeodUSA, extending the company’s footprint from coast-to-coast and adding dozens of new markets. In March, Integra Telecom announced its purchase of Eschelon, which upon its August close created a western-states super CLEC with combined revenues north of $700 million. RCN acquired NEON, the northeastern fiber network operator, strengthening the combined company’s fiber reach.

Telecom also saw its share of interest from private equity investors in 2007, further evidence that the financial world viewed telco assets as undervalued. In June, a private consortium that included two U.S. equity firms agreed to buy Bell Canada for $53 billion; the buyout is due to close in early 2008. Communications Infrastructure Investments (CII) made a series of network purchases throughout the year, including PPL Telcom, Memphis Networx, and Indiana Fiber Works, then organized the assets as Zayo Bandwidth,

New technologies, expanded capacity, and extended coverage seem to come online every day, making the industry seem new with virtually every passing day.

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which bills itself as a fiber optic provider in 43 Tier 2 and Tier 3 markets. In October, an equity firm agreed to purchase Covad Communications and take the company private. Finally, business equipment vendor Avaya was purchased by two private equity groups in November for $8 billion.

What to expect in 2008: AT&T and Verizon will start with the years-long integration of their recent mega-acquisitions largely complete, freeing them to compete on new services and with reinvigorated competitors. Recent CLEC consolidations have taken many carriers off the market,1 but the pressure to get bigger to compete against the RBOCs and MSOs could result in a super-sized surprise or two in the year ahead. However, tighter credit means some deals in late 2007, so 2008 may be quieter, but certainly not quiet.

Technological Evolution

A number of technology trends that had been gaining traction in recent years appeared solidly mainstream in 2007. Though not entirely new in their own right, together these technologies provide a vivid glimpse of the future of communications.

The market share for voice over Internet protocol (VoIP) had grown through 2006, but several developments in 2007 marked its arrival as a significant force in the industry. For one, early VoIP trailblazers like SunRocket and Vonage that provided standalone service (“bring your own broadband”) faced major patent infringement difficulties which undermined their business models. As those businesses failed or listed sharply, cable MSOs capitalized. Using retail VoIP to round out their triple-play packages, the five largest MSOs surpassed 12 million telephony subscribers in 2007.

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